I went 1-1-1 last week to bring my season best bets total to 7-4-1 against the spread. The weather in Baltimore hurt mismatch against the secondary, resulting in a push, and I put too much faith in the pa s rush against . But not this week! Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys Marco Gonzales Jersey Moneyline Spread Total LAR DAL edge rushers vs. Rams offensive tacklesThe Rams are struggling in a few key areas this season due to offseason departures:Pa s rush: They rank 31st in pre sure rate after losing . They ranked ninth last season.Second option: has a 75.5 pa ser rating targeting anyone but . It was 94.6 last year when they had a better second option with .O-line: Stafford has two games with seven-plus sacks this season after having two such games in his first 13 seasons combined. LT retired this past offseason.All this to say, I'm not as bullish on the Rams until they iron out some of these i sues, especially with Dallas' pa s rush in position to expose the Rams' suddenly suspect offensive line. Los Angeles ranks 19th in pa s block win rate this year after leading the NFL last season. Left tackle , who replaced Whitworth, has allowed the most pre sures (19) and tied for the most sacks (five) of any offensive lineman this season. Right tackle has allowed 10 pre sures, too. The Cowboys rank first in pa s rush win rate. No team beats its blocks more often than Dallas. That's thanks to and , who are the only teammates to rank in the top 10 in this stat among edge rushers.I'm banking on Justin Dunn Jersey those two to make Stafford uncomfortable and force a mistake, which we've seen before. I also don't mind riding the hot hand with , who is 4-0 SU and ATS in his career, including three starts as an underdog. Rush also doesn't have a turnover in three starts this year.Pick: Cowboys Pick Six Newsletter Crafted By The Best NFL Experts Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's . Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Thanks for signing up! Keep an eye on your inbox. Sorry! There was an error proce sing your subscription. Featured Game | Arizona Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline Spread Total ARI PHI vs. secondary Full disclosure, I'm not a big believer in the Eagles (yet), as they haven't beaten a great team and were 0-7 against playoff teams last year. But ... I feel confident in this matchup Alex Colome Jersey against the struggling Cardinals, who have lost seven straight at home, failing to cover in each game.Philadelphia's offense is no longer one-dimensional with the emergence of Hurts, thanks in part to arrival. He ranks second in the NFL in yards per attempt when pa sing inside the pocket, up from 14th last season. He is averaging over 10 yards per attempt when targeting either Brown, or , a trio that could run wild Sunday. The Eagles rank third in the league in yards after catch per reception, while Arizona's defense is second-worst in that category. Even if you don't count the ' 44-point beatdown in Arizona in Week 1, the Cardinals are third-worst in this stat since.Look for Brown to give them headaches acro s the middle, as he's caught 11 to 12 targets for 166 yards on slants this year, all best figures in the league.Pick: Eagles Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. San Francisco 49ers Moneyline Spread Total CAR SF Omar Narvaez Jersey vs. defenseThe Panthers offense versus the 49ers defense is a case of a very movable object against an unstoppable force. Carolina's struggles fall on Mayfield, who ranks last in ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating (QBR) and is second-worst in NFL Next Gen Stats' CPOE (completion percentage over expectation). He's completing 54.7% of his pa ses this season despite an expected completion percentage of 67.1%. He had arguably the worst game of his career in his only other matchup against the 49ers, back in 2019 (8-for-22, 100 yards, zero touchdowns and two interceptions in a 31-3 lo s).We could see a repeat performance against a 49ers defense that has not allowed a touchdown pa s since Week 1. It is allowing the fewest yards per play by any team through four games since the 2008 and Ravens. San Francisco has typically had one of the league's best defenses in recent years, but it looks even better in 2022 after plugging holes in the secondary with new starters at safety and , along with cornerback . With holes plugged up in the secondary, we are even seeing defensive coordinator draw up more exotic blitzes like the ones you might have seen against the Rams on Monday night. They appear to be a complete defense on every level. Using grades by Pro Football Focus, they are the only team in the NFL with a player ranked in the top 15 at every position on defense this season (DE, DT, LB, CB, S). Don't forget DPOY candidate , either. He leads the NFL in pre sures (30) and sacks (six) this season, and he'll be coming for Mayfield.49ers' highest position defensive ranks (PFF grades)S Talanoa Hufanga2ndS Tashaun Gipson3rdDE Nick Bosa5thCB Charvarius Ward6thLB 8thLB 14thDT 15thMy last vote of confidence for this pick would be Carolina's NFL-worst 3-15 record ATS in its last 18 games. Donnie Walton Jersey Pick: 49ers
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